1 KASIM SEÇİM TAHMİNİ
LEVENT SEKBAN (19-10-2015)
Önceki paylaşımlarda SORDUĞUM soruların ,cevaplarını vererek yaptığım ,bu bilimsel tahminde ,yanılma payı her bir parti için +|-1 puandır.
Anketlerin etkisinde kalınmadan ,tamamen önceki seçime göre seçmen hareketlerinin analizine göre yapılmıştır.
Seçmen sayısı 57.100 bin
Tahmini kullanılacak oy:50milyon
Tahmini geçerli oy 49 Milyon
Tahmini
Akp oyu 19 milyon %38,77. 235 Mvekili
Chp Oyu: 14 milyon % 28,57 151 Mvekili
Mhp oyu 9,5 milyon % 19,38. 93 Mvekili
Hdp oyu : 5,5 milyon % 11,22 71 Mvekili
Sp-Bbp :700 bin
Diğer :300 bin
Kıyaslama ve Analiz için
7 HAZİRAN SEÇİM SONUÇLARI
seçmen Sayısı 56.800
Kullanılan oy 47.500
Geçerli oy 46.159
AKP OYU :18.864 bin yüzde 40,87
CHP OYU:11.510 bin% 24,95
MHP OYU:7.520 bin % 16,29
HDP OYU:6.058 bin % 13,12
Bağımsızlar :500bin
SP -BBP :930bin
Diğer 800
——————
Türkiye son 3 aydır, Kabus görüyor,
Bizler Türkiye ile ilgili güzel rüya görenlerdeniz.
Bu Analiz çalışması bazı anketler gibi
parayla yönlendirme ile yapılmamıştır.
Bilimsel bir analiz ve tahmin çalışmasıdır.
Seçime 10 gün kala,saha analizi de yaparak,
Sorduğum Soruların Cevabını vererek tahminde bulundum.
Bu seçimde Eğer sonuçlar böyle olursa AkpChp koalisyonu olur.
Ve Türkiye ,
Mayıs 2016 da bir seçime daha gider.
Bu seçimi de RTE istemiştir.
TÜRKİYE o yüzden KABUS görmektedir.
Ama Son 10 günde bir mucize olup ,
AKP Seçmeni MHP yi 4-5 Puan oranında tercih ederse,
O zaman Chp Mhp koalisyonu olasılığı çok yükselir.
Bu da Türkiye’nin en az 2-3 yıl istikrarlı bir koalisyon ile yönetilmesi ve rahatlamasına yol açar.
SEN,Bilirsin TÜRKİYE..
ÖNCE İnsan Önce TÜRKİYE li Yıllar bizi bekleyebilir.
AKP-CHP mi? CHP-MHP koalisyonu mu? Buna TÜRKİYE KARAR VERECEK…
Hiç bir Partinin Tek başına iktidar olması mümkün değildir.
Önce Türkiye…. Sen,Bilirsin Türkiye…
SEVGİ VE SAYGILARIMLA
LevenT Sekban
“Tam Bağımsız Türkiye Sevdalısı”
www.Leventsekban.kim
www.Leventsekban.com

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